La escuela de los momios

Derry City v St Patricks Athletic

Inicio: 2026-05-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Derry City 0–0 St Patricks Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Derry City (Local)

Predicción 29.43%3.40momio equitativo
EV -0.542%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.228%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.44%29.53%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.103.3836.36%32.78%32.26%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 40.07%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.95%40.04%40.06%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.50%3.28momio equitativo
EV -3.91%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%30.52%30.40%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.993.003.1537.04%33.44%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.45%EV -0.542%E -0.160%K -0.228%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.74%EV -5.43%E -2.30%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.83%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 18:40
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -1.42%E -0.425%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -1.42%E -0.425%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:40
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -1.42%E -0.425%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.61%EV -9.10%E -3.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.86%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.81%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.33%EV -3.91%E -1.24%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:39
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.44%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:40
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 18:38
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.96%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:40
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.84%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-22 18:39
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -7.44%E -3.22%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -5.74%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:40
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -6.96%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 18:40
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -7.60%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.44%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:40
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:40
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 18:39
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.96%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-22 18:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.84%E -4.37%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 18:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -14.59%E -5.21%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -11.72%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -15.85%E -7.55%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -17.64%E -6.53%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-22 18:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -13.19%E -4.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -2.63%E -1.08%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -6.96%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -13.19%E -4.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.48%EV -13.85%E -6.44%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -11.54%E -3.98%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.49%E -2.83%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -11.85%E -5.38%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-22 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -15.25%E -5.30%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -4.63%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.64%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -16.14%E -5.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -16.14%E -5.66%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -5.83%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.01%E -3.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 18:40
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -19.08%E -6.94%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -12.15%E -4.22%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-22 18:30
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-22 18:30