L’École des cotes

Derry City v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 59.37%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -7.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.99%59.50%59.34%61.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.53%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.29%6.14cote équitable
EV +6.53%
Avantage +0.998%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 6.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.38%16.21%16.41%17.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.575.506.5420.00%17.97%18.18%15.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.195%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.063%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.41%24.29%24.25%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.723.754.1030.30%26.86%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.67%EV +6.53%E +0.998%K +1.18%G +0.077%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -0.195%E -0.048%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 19:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV +5.88%E +0.904%K +1.07%G +0.063%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -11.39%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:25
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 19:28
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.52%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:35
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.85%E -0.974%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:39
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 19:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.92%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.92%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 19:25
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 59.27%EV -12.73%E -8.66%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-20 19:30
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.33%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -13.67%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -15.30%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.58%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.11%EV -10.35%E -6.86%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.38%EV -17.74%E -3.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -12.85%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -18.56%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -18.56%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.67%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-20 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.45%2.3%2026-03-20 19:40