La escuela de los momios

Derry City v Drogheda United

Inicio: 2026-03-20 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Derry City (Local)

Predicción 59.37%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -7.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.99%59.50%59.34%61.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.551.6168.03%64.53%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Drogheda United (Visitante)

Predicción 16.29%6.14momio equitativo
EV +6.53%
Ventaja +0.998%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.38%16.21%16.41%17.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.575.506.5420.00%17.97%18.18%15.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV -0.195%
Ventaja -0.048%
Kelly -0.063%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.41%24.29%24.25%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.754.1030.30%26.86%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.67%EV +6.53%E +0.998%K +1.18%G +0.077%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -0.195%E -0.048%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 19:40
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV +5.88%E +0.904%K +1.07%G +0.063%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -11.39%E -3.13%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -5.01%E -3.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.28%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 19:25
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 19:28
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -2.27%E -0.378%K -0.453%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.52%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.31%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -5.52%E -0.952%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 19:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.42%E -2.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.64%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.63%E -0.657%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 19:35
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -5.60%E -3.52%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.85%E -0.974%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.34%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -7.15%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.50%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 18:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.39%E -4.73%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -8.78%E -1.57%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:39
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:35
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.56%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-20 19:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.98%E -5.15%K -14.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.92%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.92%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -11.15%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-20 19:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-20 19:25
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 59.27%EV -12.73%E -8.66%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.84%EV -10.41%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -14.80%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-20 19:30
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -6.79%E -4.33%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -12.04%E -2.23%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.32%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.33%EV -8.57%E -5.57%K -15.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -13.67%E -2.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-20 19:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -9.17%E -5.99%K -17.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -14.48%E -2.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.37%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-20 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.45%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -15.30%E -2.94%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.58%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.11%EV -10.35%E -6.86%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.38%EV -17.74%E -3.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -12.85%E -3.59%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -18.56%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -9.93%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -10.95%E -7.30%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -18.56%E -3.71%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.67%E -5.96%K -8.55%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-20 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-03-20 19:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.74%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.45%2.3%2026-03-20 19:40