L’École des cotes

Derry City v Drogheda United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 18:45 UTC

Score final : Derry City 2–0 Drogheda United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 60.65%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.78%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -8.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.84%60.61%60.59%62.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.59%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Drogheda United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.79%6.33cote équitable
EV +2.63%
Avantage +0.405%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.32%15.83%15.84%17.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.675.606.5019.61%17.63%17.86%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.56%4.24cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -0.952%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.69%23.56%23.57%26.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.843.854.0830.30%26.03%25.97%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.479%G +0.013%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 18:18
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.38%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.15%EV -0.208%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.47%EV -3.88%E -0.952%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 18:20
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -1.31%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:29
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.39%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -1.31%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 15:40
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:39
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 18:39
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:09
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.99%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 16:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-26 18:17
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-26 18:19
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.05%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.84%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.1%2026-06-26 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -22.26%E -6.75%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-26 17:10
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 15.92%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 18:40
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-26 16:40
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 11:29
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-26 11:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-26 18:20
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.00%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 16:39
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.00%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 16:39
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -11.58%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:38
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -11.58%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 18:39
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 17:59
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 18:00
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:59
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 18:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:59
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 18:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:59
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 17:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 15:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-26 11:29
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -11.45%E -7.84%K -24.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-26 18:20
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-26 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-26 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -16.31%E -3.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 17:59
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -16.31%E -3.08%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 17:59
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 15:29
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-26 15:29
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -9.63%E -6.46%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%EV -17.89%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-26 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.88%EV -10.84%E -7.38%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -19.47%E -3.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.6%2026-06-26 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-06-26 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-06-26 18:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-06-26 18:20