La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Derry City v Drogheda United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 60.65%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.78%
Ventaja -3.04%
Kelly -8.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.84%60.61%60.59%62.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.59%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Drogheda United (Visitante)
Predicción 15.79%6.33momio equitativo
EV +2.63%
Ventaja +0.405%
Kelly +0.479%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.32%15.83%15.84%17.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.105.675.606.5019.61%17.63%17.86%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.56%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.69%23.56%23.57%26.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.843.854.0830.30%26.03%25.97%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +2.63%E +0.405%K +0.479%G +0.013% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-26 18:18 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.38%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.15%EV -0.208%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.47%EV -3.88%E -0.952%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.99%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -1.31%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.39%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -1.31%E -0.210%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.18%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.99%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-26 18:17 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-26 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.05%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.48%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.84%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-06-26 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.65%EV -12.66%E -8.79%K -28.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.32%EV -5.26%E -0.877%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -22.26%E -6.75%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -5.99%E -3.86%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 15.92%EV -7.47%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.82%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.78%EV -8.42%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-26 16:40 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -9.21%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.00%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 16:39 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.00%E -1.75%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.95%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 16:39 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -11.58%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 18:38 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -11.58%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 18:39 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -4.78%E -3.04%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -11.45%E -7.84%K -24.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -13.16%E -2.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -5.38%E -3.45%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.16%EV -6.60%E -4.28%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.02%E -6.01%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -14.73%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-26 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -16.31%E -3.08%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -16.31%E -3.08%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.71%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -17.10%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.01%EV -9.63%E -6.46%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.91%EV -17.89%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-26 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.88%EV -10.84%E -7.38%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -19.47%E -3.82%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-06-26 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 18:20 |