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Bohemians v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bohemians (Local)
Prediction 55.64%1.80fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.51%55.77%55.61%59.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.631.651.7268.03%61.40%60.42%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.02%4.76fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +0.763%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.91%20.91%21.13%22.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.454.404.9025.32%22.45%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.35%4.28fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.607%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%23.31%23.26%24.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.943.954.2028.17%25.41%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 55.64%; Waterford FC (Visit): 21.02%; Draw: 23.35%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -12.09%E -7.65%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:42 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:43 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV +2.97%E +0.607%K +0.763%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.94%E -0.462%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-16 10:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.74%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.93%EV +1.08%E +0.225%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.33%EV -4.04%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.14%EV -4.86%E -2.84%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.34%EV -0.808%E -0.171%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.22%EV -14.32%E -9.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -1.23%E -0.261%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.22%EV -14.32%E -9.30%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -1.23%E -0.261%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -3.33%E -0.724%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.33%E -0.724%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-16 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -12.65%E -8.06%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -3.33%E -0.724%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -4.28%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -15.99%E -10.59%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -3.33%E -0.724%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-16 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.29%EV -16.54%E -11.03%K -33.09%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.01%EV -3.33%E -0.724%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -9.31%E -5.71%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.36%EV -18.21%E -12.39%K -38.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.06%EV -5.43%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.58%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-10-16 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.81%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -5.44%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -9.87%E -6.09%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -7.53%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.33%EV -4.30%E -2.50%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.33%EV -7.95%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.00%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.61%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.98%E -6.86%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -9.00%E -2.08%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -9.63%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-16 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -5.42%E -3.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.69%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.95%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -8.20%E -4.97%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -10.69%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.07%EV -11.54%E -7.26%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -10.69%E -2.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -15.95%E -4.43%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.14%EV -5.97%E -3.53%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -6.53%E -3.89%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -11.74%E -2.79%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -11.28%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -7.64%E -4.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.84%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -7.78%E -1.97%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-16 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -13.84%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.45%E -3.32%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-16 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -7.09%E -4.24%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -13.62%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.47%EV -8.75%E -5.34%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -15.94%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.00%EV -14.87%E -9.72%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.30%EV -16.99%E -4.30%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.70%EV -17.12%E -4.82%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-10-16 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.38% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.4% | 2026-10-16 18:40 |