Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians v Sligo Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 18:46 UTC

Final: Bohemians 3–0 Sligo Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians (Local)

Prediction 74.72%1.34fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -18.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.68%74.72%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.251.2785.47%80.75%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 9.37%10.67fair odd
EV +12.46%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.141%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.74%9.36%9.48%10.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.449.5012.0012.50%10.59%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.91%6.29fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.221%
Kelly -0.264%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.80%15.97%15.81%18.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.525.506.2020.62%18.13%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 74.72%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 9.37%; Draw: 15.91%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.67. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -9.59%E -7.92%K -45.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +12.46%E +1.04%K +1.13%G +0.141%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -4.55%E -0.759%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 18:38
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.09%E +0.281%K +0.309%G +0.010%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -8.53%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.92%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.29%EV +3.09%E +0.281%K +0.309%G +0.010%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.79%EV -22.85%E -4.71%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.83%E -10.03%K -65.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV +3.09%E +0.281%K +0.309%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -11.83%E -10.03%K -65.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV +3.09%E +0.281%K +0.309%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.73%EV -5.85%E -4.64%K -22.51%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.85%EV +1.03%E +0.095%K +0.105%G +0.001%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.42%EV -1.53%E -0.248%K -0.295%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%EV +0.746%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.55%E -0.759%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -10.34%E -8.61%K -51.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.60%E -0.152%K -0.168%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -1.37%E -0.221%K -0.264%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.53%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -1.37%E -0.221%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -1.37%E -0.221%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -1.37%E -0.221%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:35
BetUS🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -1.37%E -0.221%K -0.264%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 18:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 18:30
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.53%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -12.58%E -10.75%K -73.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -6.28%E -0.628%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 18:35
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.06%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.98I 10.02%NM 9.40%EV -6.47%E -0.648%K -0.720%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.53%EV -3.92%E -0.649%K -0.777%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.78%EV -7.35%E -5.92%K -30.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.55%E -0.759%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 18:45
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:26
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 18:01
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.33%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.33%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.04%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -7.74%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:45
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.34%E -8.61%K -51.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -10.97%E -1.15%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -4.55%E -0.759%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -7.35%E -5.92%K -30.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -7.35%E -5.92%K -30.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -12.51%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:00
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.62%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:01
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -15.65%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -20.46%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 18:26
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 73.77%EV -11.08%E -9.31%K -58.33%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.98%EV -17.53%E -1.99%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -14.10%E -2.61%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-28 18:39
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.75%EV -5.10%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.52%EV -17.28%E -3.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-24 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.83%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -18.87%E -3.70%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-24 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -7.35%E -5.92%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -20.46%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.46%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -20.34%E -2.39%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -20.46%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-24 07:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.86%EV -11.08%E -9.31%K -58.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.69%EV -25.03%E -3.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.45%EV -22.05%E -4.50%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-24 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.12%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%0.8%2026-08-28 18:40
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.07%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58%0.9%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.87%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.87%1.9%2026-08-28 18:45