The School of Odds
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Bohemians v Shelbourne Dublin

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:52 UTC

Final: Bohemians 0–1 Shelbourne Dublin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians (Local)

Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -6.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.37%57.40%57.23%58.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.601.6767.57%62.65%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 19.37%5.16fair odd
EV +0.729%
Edge +0.140%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.58%19.35%19.42%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.754.755.2023.26%21.06%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.557%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.63%23.25%23.35%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.933.904.2027.78%25.45%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 57.38%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 19.37%; Draw: 23.25%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.729%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV +0.729%E +0.140%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:35
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.60%EV -0.046%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.24%EV -3.97%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 15:25
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.60%EV -0.046%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.24%EV -3.97%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 15:17
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -2.34%E -0.557%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:47
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:50
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 07:49
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.15%E -0.629%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:49
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -5.08%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 07:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.13%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -6.05%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 12:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -6.48%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.02%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:21
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.07%EV -6.48%E -3.97%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.02%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:21
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.02%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.64%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:06
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -7.21%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.67%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-20 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-23 08:23
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -10.48%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.64%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.01%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-23 07:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.01%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.99%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-23 07:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -8.96%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.04%EV -12.21%E -7.98%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.89%EV -8.96%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -10.48%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 04:59
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.48%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 04:50
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.48%E -2.72%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 04:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.64%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 07:54
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.80%E -3.41%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -12.79%E -8.41%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.64%E -3.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-23 07:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.74%EV -11.64%E -7.56%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -10.89%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -16.29%E -4.53%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-23 15:49
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -12.83%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 14:07
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.83%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -9.32%E -2.39%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 15:35
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.83%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -12.80%E -3.41%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.84%EV -15.08%E -10.19%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.02%EV -12.83%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.14%EV -13.97%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-23 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -14.77%E -3.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -6.99%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 04:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.77%E -3.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.97%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -14.77%E -3.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.97%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 07:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.77%E -3.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.97%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 07:54
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -7.62%E -4.73%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -14.77%E -3.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -13.97%E -3.77%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.48%EV -14.51%E -9.74%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.69%EV -15.74%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -12.80%E -3.41%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-23 05:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.58%EV -9.34%E -5.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -16.71%E -3.88%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -8.15%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-10-23 15:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-10-23 15:07
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-10-23 15:06
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.30%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%1.5%2026-10-23 15:06