L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 19:02 UTC

Score final : Bohemians 1–2 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.46%53.31%53.46%54.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.751.741.8362.11%57.25%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.333%
Kelly +0.426%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.21%22.05%21.98%23.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.004.6026.67%24.50%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.54%4.08cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.777%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.65%24.64%24.56%27.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.603.9532.26%27.38%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +1.53%E +0.333%K +0.426%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.20%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -0.673%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 19:00
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.56%EV -1.56%E -0.349%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -3.31%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 18:59
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:59
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 19:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -7.24%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-19 19:00
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.09%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 19:00
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 21.81%EV -5.31%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.19%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 19:00
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 18:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 18:59
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-19 18:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-19 19:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -14.05%E -8.72%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -16.57%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.3%2026-06-19 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.21%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -23.93%E -7.72%K -11.39%G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-19 18:51
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:59
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.30%EV -11.38%E -6.85%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-19 19:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -10.61%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -10.61%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 18:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 19:00
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.20%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-19 19:00
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 18:59
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 18:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 19:00
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -12.44%E -7.59%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-19 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -3.37%E -1.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.88%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-19 18:47
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 19:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -10.31%E -6.14%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-19 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 19:00
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-19 19:00
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -16.57%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-19 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-06-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-06-19 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-06-19 19:00
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-06-19 19:00