La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bohemians v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 53.39%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.46%53.31%53.46%54.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.751.741.8362.11%57.25%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 22.07%4.53momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.333%
Kelly +0.426%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.21%22.05%21.98%23.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.004.6026.67%24.50%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.54%4.08momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.65%24.64%24.56%27.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.603.9532.26%27.38%27.78%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV +1.53%E +0.333%K +0.426%G +0.007% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.20%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -0.673%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.03%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.56%EV -1.56%E -0.349%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -3.31%E -0.841%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.42%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.03%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.73%EV -7.24%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -2.88%E -0.655%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.09%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.07%E -0.777%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.81%EV -5.31%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.43%EV -6.01%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.19%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.52%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.46%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.84%E -6.49%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.85%EV -14.05%E -8.72%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.64%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.50%EV -16.57%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -13.51%E -8.34%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.21%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.38%EV -23.93%E -7.72%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-06-19 18:51 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.17%E -4.75%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.30%EV -11.38%E -6.85%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -10.61%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -10.61%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.20%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -2.30%E -1.26%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.75%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -12.44%E -7.59%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.81%E -3.24%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.93%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -3.37%E -1.86%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -12.88%E -3.63%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-19 18:47 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -10.31%E -6.14%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -11.66%E -3.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-19 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.02%E -3.90%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -14.11%E -4.03%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -16.57%E -4.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 1.5% | 2026-06-19 19:00 |