Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.63%42.57%44.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.122.152.2851.02%47.24%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.63%3.38fair odd
EV -0.754%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.321%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.56%29.56%30.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3535.71%31.93%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.85%3.59fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%27.81%27.87%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.203.5034.48%30.95%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 42.53%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 29.63%; Draw: 27.85%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.754%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.43%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -2.82%E -0.807%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 04:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.83%EV -3.04%E -1.33%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.44%EV -4.01%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 04:49
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 04:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 04:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 04:44
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.55%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.38%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.07%EV -5.88%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 04:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 04:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 04:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 04:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 04:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 04:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 04:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.58%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -5.79%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -7.55%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:55
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.51%EV -7.71%E -3.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -2.54%E -0.725%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 04:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.32%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 04:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 04:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 04:49
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 04:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 04:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:45
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 04:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.72%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 04:55
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -11.54%E -5.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -0.754%E -0.225%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 04:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -11.97%E -5.78%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -0.754%E -0.225%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.11%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 04:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 04:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.82%E -6.25%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-22 04:44
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -13.24%E -6.49%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -0.754%E -0.225%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -13.24%E -6.49%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -0.754%E -0.225%K -0.321%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 04:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:35
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -2.23%E -0.677%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 04:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.72%EV -14.09%E -6.98%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.45%EV -13.20%E -4.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 04:43
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 04:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -14.09%E -4.86%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-22 04:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.60%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.71%EV -17.05%E -6.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -19.25%E -6.64%K -10.13%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-22 04:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.57%EV -15.37%E -7.72%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.53%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-22 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.62%EV -16.64%E -8.49%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.98%EV -12.60%E -4.27%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -4.21%K -6.19%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-22 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-03-22 04:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-22 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-22 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-22 04:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-22 04:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.4%2026-03-22 04:55