Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 3–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 42.29%2.36fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%42.31%42.33%45.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.122.152.2852.91%47.15%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV +0.449%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.198%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%30.75%30.64%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2735.71%33.25%33.33%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.94%27.03%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.303.6031.75%29.79%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 42.29%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 30.72%; Draw: 27.00%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.449%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV +0.449%E +0.137%K +0.198%G +0.001%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -7.67%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:25
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -1.39%E -0.434%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 10:21
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.85%EV -20.08%E -10.63%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.08%EV -1.70%E -0.532%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.08%EV -13.61%E -4.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-28 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -13.74%E -6.73%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 10:15
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.78%EV -4.44%E -1.96%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 05:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 08:30
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -15.43%E -7.71%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -8.24%E -3.80%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.97%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 10:00
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.16%EV -7.40%E -3.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 09:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 10:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 10:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:01
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 05:45
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.33%EV -18.39%E -9.53%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -14.96%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-29 10:15
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 09:28
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.86%E -2.16%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 08:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 05:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 10:04
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.92%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 08:41
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.92%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.92%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.56%E -2.85%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 05:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -13.32%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -10.92%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 10:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.97%E -3.17%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 08:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 08:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.88%EV -11.20%E -5.33%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.64%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -13.61%E -4.25%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 09:30
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.09%E -4.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:30
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.32%E -6.50%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.99%E -5.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-29 10:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%-0.0%2026-08-29 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-29 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-29 10:25
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-08-29 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-08-29 10:15