Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–3 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 34.58%2.89fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%34.71%34.52%36.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.622.602.8340.32%38.22%38.46%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.98%37.58%37.63%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.89%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.89%27.72%27.85%28.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.203.5032.26%30.68%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 34.58%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 37.64%; Draw: 27.78%. For Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.18%EV -2.14%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.88%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 10:24
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -3.18%E -1.13%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -4.56%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -4.56%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 10:24
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.90%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.29%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.75%EV -7.03%E -2.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:19
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 10:24
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 10:24
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.19%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.83%EV -8.16%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 10:21
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 10:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.63%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 10:19
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.85%EV -8.36%E -3.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -2.14%E -0.822%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -4.44%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.36%E -3.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:20
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.36%E -3.16%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.05%E -3.44%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -13.43%E -5.84%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-11 10:20
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.05%E -3.44%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -13.43%E -5.84%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-11 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 10:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 10:20
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.43%E -5.84%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -9.40%E -3.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.43%E -5.84%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -2.77%E -0.791%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 09:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 10:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 10:19
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-11 10:20
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 10:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.79%E -4.55%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-11 09:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:44
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:40
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:40
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:40
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 09:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -11.82%E -4.64%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -15.31%E -6.80%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-11 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 34.49%EV -12.86%E -5.10%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.47%EV -12.68%E -5.46%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-11 10:24
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.98%EV -6.65%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -12.49%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-07 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -7.78%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-11 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -11.55%E -4.91%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%EV -9.71%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-11 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.55%E -5.42%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.43%E -5.84%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.45%EV -14.24%E -5.74%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.18%EV -8.54%E -3.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 09:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-07-11 10:24
Smarkets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.60%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.88%2.5%2026-07-11 10:24
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.91%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.0%2026-07-11 10:25

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