Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Jeju United FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Jeju United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.71%49.15%49.11%51.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.831.9958.48%54.59%54.64%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +5.80%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 4.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.19%23.53%23.55%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.974.004.4828.17%25.21%25.00%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.34%3.66fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.32%27.35%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.91%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 49.05%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 23.62%; Draw: 27.34%. For Jeju United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.19%EV +5.80%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.097%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -6.50%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -11.72%E -6.51%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV +0.364%E +0.086%K +0.112%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.816%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 10:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -0.816%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -0.816%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -13.19%E -7.45%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -0.816%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -13.19%E -7.45%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -0.816%E -0.194%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 10:15
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.55%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -2.71%E -0.657%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 10:20
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.98%EV -8.77%E -4.72%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 10:25
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.30%EV -14.17%E -8.10%K -18.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-13 10:15
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -14.66%E -8.42%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -3.18%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 10:15
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.78%EV -9.26%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -4.36%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.42%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 10:24
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 10:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.79%E -4.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 10:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 10:26
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.60%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 10:26
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -11.72%E -6.51%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -16.13%E -9.43%K -22.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -5.54%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 10:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.32%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.90%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.32%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -5.83%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.36%E -2.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 10:20
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 10:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 10:25
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 10:26
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -10.24%E -5.60%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 10:25
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -11.72%E -6.51%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-13 10:25
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.81%E -3.58%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 10:26
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -11.72%E -6.51%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.79%E -4.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-13 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.79%E -4.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 10:21
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.37%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -12.52%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-13 10:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.21%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.32%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.46%EV -15.25%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-13 10:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.71%EV -8.28%E -4.43%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.58%EV -14.28%E -3.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -11.97%E -3.72%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 10:17
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.74%E -5.90%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.17%E -4.55%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.15%E -3.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-13 10:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-05-13 10:26
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-13 10:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-05-13 10:25
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-05-13 10:25
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%5.5%2026-05-13 10:26