L’École des cotes

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gwangju FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 05:00 UTC

Score final : Ulsan Hyundai FC 5–1 Gwangju FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prévision 59.74%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -5.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.07%59.65%59.87%61.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.541.551.6271.43%64.83%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gwangju FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.33%6.12cote équitable
EV +2.08%
Avantage +0.332%
Kelly +0.395%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.08%16.40%16.18%18.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.435.356.2520.41%18.43%18.69%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.92%4.18cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.697%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%23.95%23.95%25.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.763.754.0928.17%26.60%26.67%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +2.08%E +0.332%K +0.395%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 04:46
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.69%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.72%EV +0.280%E +0.046%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV -2.15%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 04:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 04:55
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 04:46
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 04:55
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:45
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 03:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 04:46
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.27%E -0.909%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 04:55
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -5.27%E -0.909%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 04:46
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 04:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 04:46
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.70%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.78%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 04:46
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 04:46
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.61%EV -6.42%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 04:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 04:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 04:55
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 04:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:55
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.87%EV -16.36%E -11.68%K -40.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.78%EV -11.81%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.35%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 04:46
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -13.44%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 20:45
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.41%E -2.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 04:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.41%E -2.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.11%EV -12.77%E -8.75%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-19 04:54
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.03%EV -12.77%E -8.75%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.90%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.07%EV -14.35%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 04:54
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:46
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:45
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:45
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.99%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 04:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 04:45
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.21%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -15.07%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-19 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-19 04:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%3.1%2026-04-19 04:46