La escuela de los momios

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-04-19 05:00 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 5–1 Gwangju FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Predicción 59.74%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -5.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.07%59.65%59.87%61.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.541.551.6271.43%64.83%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 16.33%6.12momio equitativo
EV +2.08%
Ventaja +0.332%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.08%16.40%16.18%18.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.435.356.2520.41%18.43%18.69%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.92%4.18momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.697%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%23.95%23.95%25.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.763.754.0928.17%26.60%26.67%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +2.08%E +0.332%K +0.395%G +0.008%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 04:46
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.69%EV -5.01%E -3.15%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.72%EV +0.280%E +0.046%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.59%EV -2.15%E -0.526%K -0.697%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-19 04:55
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 04:55
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 04:46
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 04:55
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:45
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 03:49
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -2.01%E -0.334%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 04:46
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -5.27%E -0.909%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -7.66%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 04:55
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.50%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -5.27%E -0.909%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 04:46
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.50%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 04:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.13%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 04:46
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.80%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.73%EV -8.59%E -5.62%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.70%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.78%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 04:46
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.61%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -6.09%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 04:46
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.74%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.61%EV -6.42%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 04:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.70%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.54%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 04:55
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 04:55
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 04:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -7.40%E -4.77%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.17%E -1.85%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.89%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 04:55
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.87%EV -16.36%E -11.68%K -40.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.78%EV -11.81%E -2.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.35%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-19 04:46
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.82%EV -9.19%E -6.05%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -13.44%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.32%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -14.26%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 04:46
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -3.81%E -2.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.48%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 20:45
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.41%E -2.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 04:46
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -4.41%E -2.76%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.11%EV -12.77%E -8.75%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-19 04:54
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.03%EV -12.77%E -8.75%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.90%EV -16.71%E -3.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.07%EV -14.35%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 04:54
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:46
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:45
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 04:45
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:46
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.49%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.68%E -3.47%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 04:45
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 57.30%EV -6.80%E -4.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.83%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 58.99%EV -10.98%E -7.37%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 04:55
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.34%E -3.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 04:45
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.21%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -19.97%E -4.08%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.82%EV -15.07%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 04:46
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.63%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-19 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.37%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.00%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.55%1.8%2026-04-19 04:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.55%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.27%3.1%2026-04-19 04:46