The School of Odds
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Ulsan Hyundai FC v FC Seoul

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.16%36.65%36.62%37.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.6244.44%40.49%40.82%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 35.22%2.84fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%35.26%35.22%35.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.7041.67%38.71%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%28.09%28.17%28.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.4032.26%31.01%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 36.60%; FC Seoul (Visit): 35.22%; Draw: 28.18%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -4.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -4.10%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.28%EV -4.91%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -5.32%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-02 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -4.91%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 06:25
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.67%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.67%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -7.02%E -2.66%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.67%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 13:14
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.67%E -2.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-02 05:14
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.44%EV -7.40%E -2.92%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 16:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 14:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 10:09
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 17:44
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 10:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.23%E -3.72%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 10:09
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:08
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:08
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 13:15
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 13:15
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.33%E -4.21%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.43%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.06%E -4.55%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -10.19%E -4.00%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-01 10:09
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -12.16%E -5.06%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.72%E -2.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 05:19
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.89%E -5.42%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -11.95%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-04 08:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.71%EV -13.25%E -5.59%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.22%EV -13.01%E -5.27%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-06 11:53
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -17.65%E -7.84%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -15.47%E -6.45%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-05 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%6.1%2026-03-02 15:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.23%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.23%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%181.3%2026-03-06 06:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.23%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.23%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.54%181.3%2026-03-06 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 33.01%1.05I 95.24%NM 33.01%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.98%188.5%2026-03-05 15:20