Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v FC Seoul

Kickoff: 2026-09-08 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 FC Seoul

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV +0.384%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.160%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%29.39%29.53%30.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.053.4034.48%32.53%32.79%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%44.39%44.17%46.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.2052.36%48.85%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.30%3.80fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.22%26.30%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.453.7530.77%28.85%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 29.52%; FC Seoul (Visit): 44.17%; Draw: 26.30%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.384%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +0.384%E +0.113%K +0.160%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 10:20
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -1.98%E -0.596%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.55%EV -4.14%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.34%EV -3.47%E -0.946%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -2.57%E -0.778%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 10:25
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -6.35%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 10:15
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 10:20
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.83%EV -4.14%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-08 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -6.11%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -6.35%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:24
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -1.37%E -0.364%K -0.497%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 10:20
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -7.88%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.11%EV -7.68%E -3.67%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 10:18
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 10:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -2.68%E -0.725%K -0.993%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 10:15
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 10:20
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 10:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 10:25
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.47%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 10:15
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 10:20
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.65%E -5.83%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -7.94%E -2.27%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 10:15
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -12.54%E -6.33%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -12.54%E -6.33%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -12.54%E -6.33%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:15
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.91%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-08 10:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.31%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -6.63%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.88%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.43%EV -11.36%E -3.37%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-08 10:19
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.52%E -4.47%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -13.42%E -6.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.65%E -5.83%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -13.20%E -4.00%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-08 10:20
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.12%E -3.90%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.44%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.26%E -2.68%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-08 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.90%E -4.37%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.01%EV -14.75%E -7.64%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-08 10:14
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -13.86%E -7.11%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -10.57%E -3.11%K -4.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-08 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.55%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.87%EV -15.63%E -8.18%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -11.89%E -3.55%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-08 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-09-08 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-08 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-08 10:25
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-09-08 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-09-08 10:25
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-09-08 10:20