The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ulsan Hyundai FC v Bucheon FC 1995

2026-10-17 07:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 55.93%1.79fair odd
EV -9.95%
Edge -6.18%
Kelly -16.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.93%55.93%55.93%56.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.601.601.6164.10%62.68%62.50%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)

Prediction 19.83%5.04fair odd
EV -10.76%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%19.83%19.83%20.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.494.504.5022.73%22.26%22.22%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.24%4.13fair odd
EV -9.11%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.93%24.24%24.24%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.703.703.7527.78%27.06%27.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 55.93%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 19.83%; Draw: 24.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -9.11%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.96%EV -9.95%E -6.18%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.11%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 13:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.51%E -6.57%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -12.19%E -7.76%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -10.76%E -2.39%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.32%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.93%EV -12.75%E -8.17%K -22.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -12.75%E -2.90%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 56.03%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%6.9%2026-10-10 17:25