Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Bucheon FC 1995

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Bucheon FC 1995

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 67.16%1.49fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.89%66.72%67.24%69.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.381.381.4480.00%72.29%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit)

Prediction 13.15%7.61fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.648%
Kelly +0.741%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.79%13.46%13.11%17.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.496.508.0019.61%15.41%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.69%5.08fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.385%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.58%19.82%19.65%22.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.464.505.0025.32%22.41%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 67.16%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 13.15%; Draw: 19.69%. For Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.18%E +0.648%K +0.741%G +0.038%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +5.18%E +0.648%K +0.741%G +0.038%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.36%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.28%EV +3.21%E +0.409%K +0.469%G +0.015%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.36%EV -1.93%E -0.388%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.07%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 07:25
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 07:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -1.54%E -0.308%K -0.385%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 07:24
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -1.39%E -0.185%K -0.214%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 07:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -4.68%E -0.645%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.73%EV -4.68%E -0.645%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 07:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.64%EV -5.33%E -0.741%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 07:20
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.29%EV -5.30%E -3.76%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.16%EV -6.65%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -10.40%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -6.65%E -0.937%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -10.40%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 07:19
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 07:24
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -7.99%E -5.83%K -21.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.77%EV -8.43%E -1.81%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 07:23
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.41%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.44%EV -10.01%E -7.47%K -29.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -7.96%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -9.41%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.56%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -11.25%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -15.32%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.99%EV -12.02%E -9.18%K -38.78%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -13.22%E -2.00%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -12.37%E -2.78%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 07:24
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.46%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 07:15
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 07:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.98%E -4.27%K -14.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -9.33%E -6.91%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -3.51%E -0.716%K -0.899%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 07:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 07:20
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.38%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 07:20
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.33%E -6.91%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -9.41%E -2.05%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 07:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.73%E -3.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 07:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.23%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -14.54%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -17.29%E -4.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 67.15%EV -16.05%E -12.84%K -64.20%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.32%EV -17.17%E -2.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.52%EV -15.32%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-17 07:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.12%EV -10.68%E -8.03%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.28%EV -17.83%E -2.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.60%EV -5.48%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -8.66%E -6.37%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -21.11%E -3.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -14.73%E -3.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 07:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.34%EV -6.65%E -4.78%K -17.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.18%EV -23.74%E -4.09%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-17 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.07%EV -26.37%E -4.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -17.29%E -4.12%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 07:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -27.69%E -5.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -19.26%E -4.70%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.12%EV -7.32%E -5.30%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.18%EV -30.32%E -5.72%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.70%EV -22.22%E -5.62%K -7.53%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-17 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.89%EV -3.96%E -2.77%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.07%EV -32.95%E -6.46%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.04%EV -22.22%E -5.62%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-10-17 07:25
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%0.9%2026-10-17 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.94%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-10-17 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.94%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-10-17 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.94%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-10-17 07:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.16%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%2.5%2026-10-17 07:25