Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prediction 28.45%3.52fair odd
EV +2.41%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.928%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.74%28.63%28.49%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.103.6034.48%32.07%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%42.16%42.09%43.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.152.2751.28%46.31%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.027%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.21%29.42%30.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.163.4035.71%31.58%31.65%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 28.45%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 42.17%; Draw: 29.38%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV +2.41%E +0.670%K +0.928%G +0.022%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -7.15%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV +2.41%E +0.670%K +0.928%G +0.022%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.47%EV -7.15%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 04:49
Pinnacle🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV +0.137%E +0.039%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.28%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.94%EV -5.09%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 04:50
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.11%EV -3.85%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.19%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.70%EV -2.74%E -0.827%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 04:54
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.70%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:49
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.21%EV -6.81%E -3.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -7.15%E -2.26%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 04:55
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 04:54
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.12%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 04:49
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.54%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 04:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 04:54
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 04:54
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 04:49
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 04:49
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 04:53
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 04:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.97%E -2.80%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 04:50
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.12%E -2.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -0.093%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -10.39%E -3.30%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 43.65%EV -15.24%E -7.58%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.49%EV -9.50%E -3.08%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 04:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.093%E -0.027%K -0.039%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 04:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 04:54
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.81%E -3.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-08 04:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -13.23%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.09%EV -12.71%E -6.14%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.34%EV -12.73%E -4.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-08 04:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -13.23%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -13.56%E -6.61%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-08 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.69%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.04%EV -12.73%E -4.29%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-08 04:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -1.56%E -0.466%K -0.665%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 04:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -4.50%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -14.66%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.56%E -6.61%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -8.91%E -2.87%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -16.08%E -5.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 04:34
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -16.08%E -5.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -8.07%E -3.70%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.04%EV -16.08%E -5.45%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 42.42%EV -17.77%E -9.11%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.54%EV -17.72%E -6.33%K -9.85%G +0.000%20.9%2026-03-08 04:54
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:29
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:35
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:34
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:30
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.919%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 04:34
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -17.50%E -6.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -9.76%E -4.56%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -4.50%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 04:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%-0.1%2026-03-08 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-03-08 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%1.6%2026-03-08 04:54
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04%2.4%2026-03-08 04:54