L’École des cotes

Sangju Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prévision 53.13%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.50%53.08%52.91%54.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.741.751.8364.10%57.61%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gwangju FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.58%5.11cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.087%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%19.68%19.72%21.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.524.455.0923.81%22.10%22.47%19.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.30%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.665%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.31%27.25%27.37%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.253.6033.33%30.31%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -16.80%E -3.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -16.80%E -3.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:10
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -0.354%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:09
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 10:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 10:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 10:10
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 50.64%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-17 10:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.50%E -3.69%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 10:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 10:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 10:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.09%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 10:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 10:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.21%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -3.09%E -0.625%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 10:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 10:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -5.05%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 10:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 10:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 10:20
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.90%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -10.75%E -6.40%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-17 10:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 10:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.74%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.69%EV -14.83%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-17 10:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.31%EV -13.41%E -8.22%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.53%EV -12.88%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 10:20
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.04%EV -14.47%E -8.99%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.86%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -14.01%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-17 10:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.31%EV -15.00%E -9.37%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.61%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -14.01%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-17 10:20
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.79%EV -17.12%E -10.98%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.24%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -18.11%E -6.04%K -9.05%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.79%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.73%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%2.5%2026-03-17 10:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22%2.9%2026-03-17 10:20