La escuela de los momios

Sangju Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-03-17 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 53.13%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.50%53.08%52.91%54.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.741.751.8364.10%57.61%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 19.58%5.11momio equitativo
EV -0.354%
Ventaja -0.070%
Kelly -0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%19.68%19.72%21.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.524.455.0923.81%22.10%22.47%19.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.30%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.480%
Kelly -0.665%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.25%27.37%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.253.6033.33%30.31%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -16.80%E -3.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -4.37%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -16.80%E -3.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:10
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.23%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.96%EV -0.354%E -0.070%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.81%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:09
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -5.44%E -3.05%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-17 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 10:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 10:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 10:10
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 50.64%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-17 10:10
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.24%EV -6.50%E -3.69%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -6.03%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 10:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 10:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 10:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -7.56%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.09%E -0.871%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 10:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -1.73%E -0.480%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 10:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 10:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -15.23%E -3.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 10:10
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.21%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -3.09%E -0.625%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.55%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 10:20
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.06%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 10:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -5.05%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 10:20
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.64%EV -8.97%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -8.55%E -2.55%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 10:20
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -8.62%E -5.01%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.86%E -3.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 10:20
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -5.82%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.07%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.19%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 10:20
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.90%E -2.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.28%E -3.47%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.38%EV -10.75%E -6.40%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-17 10:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.12%E -0.423%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 10:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -7.01%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.74%EV -11.28%E -6.75%K -16.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -17.78%E -4.23%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.69%EV -14.83%E -4.75%K -7.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-17 10:18
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.31%EV -13.41%E -8.22%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.53%EV -12.88%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 10:20
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.04%EV -14.47%E -8.99%K -23.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.86%EV -15.82%E -3.68%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.11%EV -14.01%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-17 10:20
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.31%EV -15.00%E -9.37%K -25.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.61%EV -14.84%E -3.41%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -14.01%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-17 10:20
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 53.79%EV -17.12%E -10.98%K -30.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.24%EV -9.95%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.97%EV -18.11%E -6.04%K -9.05%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.11%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.90%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-03-17 10:20
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.79%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.73%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.47%2.5%2026-03-17 10:20
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.22%2.9%2026-03-17 10:20