Language:English
Sangju Sangmu FC v Gwangju FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)
Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -8.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.19%61.63%61.70%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5570.92%67.58%67.57%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gwangju FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.31%6.13fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.185%
Kelly +0.220%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.81%16.33%16.31%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.555.506.2020.00%18.01%18.18%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.04%4.54fair odd
EV -0.833%
Edge -0.185%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.04%21.99%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.004.5026.67%24.69%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 61.65%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 16.31%; Draw: 22.04%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV +1.14%E +0.185%K +0.220%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.12%E -0.353%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.08%EV -2.28%E -0.381%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -0.833%E -0.185%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -4.57%E -0.780%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -5.38%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.04%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.36%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -5.38%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.04%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.04%E -0.690%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.833%E -0.185%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.20%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -7.01%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -7.01%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.51%EV -7.50%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.70%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -8.64%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.34%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 09:53 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.13%EV -8.64%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.65%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 08:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.75%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.98%EV -9.99%E -6.84%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.98%EV -9.99%E -6.84%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.98%EV -9.99%E -6.84%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.19%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -10.28%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.94%EV -11.91%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.27%EV -5.24%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -11.91%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -11.91%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 09:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.93%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.14%EV -11.91%E -2.20%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.26%E -4.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 09:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.28%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -12.95%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.90%EV -13.07%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.20%EV -13.54%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -17.36%E -4.63%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -14.35%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -14.35%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -14.35%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.19%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -14.35%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -14.05%E -3.60%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.41%EV -9.99%E -6.84%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -15.17%E -2.92%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.44%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 09:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.43%E -3.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.85%E -2.96%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.06% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.80% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |