Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.65
assuming max odds 2.16
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 27.94%; FC Seoul (Visit): 45.07%; Draw: 26.99%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV +1.98%E +0.543%K +0.748%G +0.015% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.63%EV -18.88%E -10.49%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV +0.585%E +0.163%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -13.47%E -7.02%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -0.812%E -0.229%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -14.82%E -7.84%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -2.21%E -0.631%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -15.72%E -8.41%K -18.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -2.77%E -0.795%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.83%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -4.45%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -2.77%E -0.795%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -8.96%E -4.44%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -6.07%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.15%EV -17.53%E -9.58%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.83%E -0.786%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -18.88%E -10.49%K -23.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -5.28%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.04%EV -4.91%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.72%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.40%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.16%E -3.48%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -5.36%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.59%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.67%E -5.95%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.14%EV -11.15%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 10:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.26%EV -13.47%E -7.02%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -13.63%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 2.2% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
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