L’École des cotes

Sangju Sangmu FC v Bucheon FC 1995

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 10:30 UTC

Score final : Sangju Sangmu FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prévision 48.03%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -3.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.06%47.90%48.03%49.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.942.0056.18%51.86%51.55%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.99%4.17cote équitable
EV +0.269%
Avantage +0.064%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%24.07%23.99%25.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.733.754.1828.99%26.82%26.67%23.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.98%3.57cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -0.922%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.03%27.98%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.203.4632.26%30.96%31.25%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV +0.269%E +0.064%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 10:24
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -2.13%E -0.522%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -3.19%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 10:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 10:20
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 08:09
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 09:29
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 10:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -6.93%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 10:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:09
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 10:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 08:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 09:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 07:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:35
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.42%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.57%EV -9.33%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.02%E -3.47%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 10:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 08:09
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 08:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -14.50%E -8.15%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 10:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 10:24
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 10:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.44%EV -13.54%E -7.52%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.68%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 10:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 09:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 08:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 10:05
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:05
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:04
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -16.04%E -4.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 10:04
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -9.22%E -4.88%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -17.24%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-11 10:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-07-11 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:24