La escuela de los momios

Sangju Sangmu FC v Bucheon FC 1995

Inicio: 2026-07-11 10:30 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 48.03%2.08momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.06%47.90%48.03%49.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.942.0056.18%51.86%51.55%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bucheon FC 1995 (Visitante)

Predicción 23.99%4.17momio equitativo
EV +0.269%
Ventaja +0.064%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%24.07%23.99%25.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.733.754.1828.99%26.82%26.67%23.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.98%3.57momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -0.922%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.03%27.98%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.203.4632.26%30.96%31.25%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV +0.269%E +0.064%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 10:24
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.35%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.70%EV -2.13%E -0.522%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.95%EV -3.19%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 10:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 10:20
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 08:09
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -4.05%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 09:29
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 10:09
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -5.25%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 10:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.45%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -6.93%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 10:14
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 10:19
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:09
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.65%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 10:09
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 08:59
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 09:19
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 07:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.85%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 09:35
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.42%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.57%EV -9.33%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.01%EV -11.02%E -3.47%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 10:04
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.48%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 08:09
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:24
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 10:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-11 08:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -14.50%E -8.15%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV -10.05%E -2.68%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 10:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.25%E -3.04%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 10:24
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 10:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.10%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.44%EV -13.54%E -7.52%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -12.44%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.68%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 10:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-11 09:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 09:19
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 08:59
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.26%E -4.32%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.64%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 10:05
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:05
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 10:04
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:04
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 46.45%EV -6.82%E -3.51%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.84%E -4.18%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 10:05
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -16.04%E -4.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.86%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 10:04
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -9.22%E -4.88%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -17.24%E -5.00%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -13.26%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-11 10:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-07-11 10:24
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-07-11 10:25
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.3%2026-07-11 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-07-11 10:24