Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 0–2 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.894%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.49%27.20%26.77%35.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.373.353.8540.00%29.69%29.85%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 45.22%2.21fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +3.20%
Kelly +5.52%
Growth +0.420%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.10%44.89%45.23%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.042.3851.81%49.10%49.02%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.656%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%27.91%28.00%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.253.5032.26%30.77%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 26.87%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 45.22%; Draw: 27.92%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -32.83%E -13.13%K -21.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV +7.62%E +3.20%K +5.52%G +0.420%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-06 17:00
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.47%EV -13.49%E -4.19%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.55%EV +0.834%E +0.374%K +0.678%G +0.006%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.99%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 10:54
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:15
Pinnacle🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.86%EV +0.485%E +0.130%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.50%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -2.30%E -0.656%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.40%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -6.85%E -3.33%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:40
DraftKings🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:15
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 10:15
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:15
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:15
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:15
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.31%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:15
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.76%E -3.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 10:40
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV +0.754%E +0.201%K +0.274%G +0.002%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -8.21%E -4.04%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 10:35
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.66%E -4.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:35
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -4.62%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.66%E -4.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:50
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -8.66%E -4.29%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.09%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -0.590%E -0.159%K -0.218%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 10:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.88%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 10:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.68%E -3.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.28%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:15
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.34%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -9.57%E -4.78%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV +3.44%E +0.894%K +1.21%G +0.042%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.37%EV -10.02%E -5.03%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV +3.44%E +0.894%K +1.21%G +0.042%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.37%EV -10.02%E -5.03%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.94%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -15.37%E -4.88%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -10.92%E -5.54%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -12.07%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -3.28%E -0.910%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.67%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -5.96%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.83%E -6.07%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.93%EV -12.73%E -6.60%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.97%EV -13.46%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-08 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%0.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.29%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-08-08 10:55

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