Language:English
Pohang Steelers v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pohang Steelers (Local)
Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.32%34.21%36.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.8641.67%38.12%38.17%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.40%36.37%36.55%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.522.6942.55%39.43%39.68%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.28%3.42fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.54%29.31%29.24%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.003.2734.72%32.50%33.33%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 34.17%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 36.55%; Draw: 29.28%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.69, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.85%EV -2.26%E -0.790%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%EV -3.15%E -1.19%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.61%EV -4.26%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -3.63%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -3.63%E -1.29%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.31%E -1.54%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.41%EV -6.44%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -8.07%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.67%EV -6.36%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.76%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -8.66%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 10:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.36%EV -8.07%E -3.00%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.36%EV -1.69%E -0.627%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.83%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.83%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.78%EV -11.19%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.50%EV -11.29%E -3.73%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 10:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -14.11%E -6.01%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.46%E -4.27%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -5.12%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -12.85%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.85%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -14.56%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.83%EV -7.90%E -3.13%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.06%EV -14.51%E -4.97%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 10:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -17.98%E -7.49%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.55%EV -9.36%E -3.77%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.75%EV -15.68%E -5.45%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.96% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.96% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 10:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.91% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |