The School of Odds
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Pohang Steelers v Sangju Sangmu FC

2026-09-09 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 33.53%2.98fair odd
EV -9.47%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%33.53%33.53%33.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.652.7039.22%37.86%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 37.41%2.67fair odd
EV -9.08%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -6.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.24%37.41%37.41%37.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.382.4343.48%42.12%42.02%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -9.92%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -4.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.06%29.06%29.06%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.043.053.1033.90%32.86%32.79%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pohang Steelers (Local): 33.53%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 37.41%; Draw: 29.06%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -9.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -9.47%E -3.51%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -9.08%E -3.74%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 06:45
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:45
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -11.15%E -4.21%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.34%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 06:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.70%EV -11.82%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.24%EV -10.96%E -4.60%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 06:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.53%EV -12.83%E -4.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.41%EV -12.83%E -5.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.06%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-03 06:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -14.50%E -5.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.29%EV -13.95%E -6.06%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -14.28%E -4.84%K -7.32%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-03 06:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 36.38%1.67I 59.88%NM 27.23%1.25I 80.00%NM 36.38%119.9%2026-09-03 13:05