Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 10:30 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 0–2 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 30.35%3.30fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.33%30.21%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.053.2635.71%33.10%32.79%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%39.22%39.29%40.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.312.302.4746.08%43.34%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.722%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%30.45%30.50%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.2035.09%33.40%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 30.35%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 39.12%; Draw: 30.53%. For Pohang Steelers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.26, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.69%EV -1.07%E -0.327%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.19%EV -3.36%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -2.89%E -0.903%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.82%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -2.89%E -0.903%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.82%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.89%E -0.903%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 10:10
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 10:00
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.53%EV -5.32%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 10:24
1xBet🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.12%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -5.71%E -2.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -7.81%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 10:19
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:25
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.49%E -2.72%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -7.81%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:25
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 10:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -12.75%E -5.72%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 10:05
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 10:05
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.31%E -0.722%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -2.31%E -0.722%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 10:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 10:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 10:00
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -8.96%E -2.99%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.67%EV -15.10%E -6.96%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -10.48%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 10:25
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -11.39%E -3.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 08:00
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -11.39%E -3.90%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.88%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 09:35
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 10:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 09:30
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 09:30
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 09:30
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.99%E -4.14%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -13.51%E -4.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -10.01%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.93%EV -9.03%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:02
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -14.42%E -5.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.00%E -4.56%K -7.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-25 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -15.03%E -5.37%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-07-25 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-07-25 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%1.2%2026-07-25 10:25
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-07-25 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-07-25 10:20
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-07-25 10:25

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