Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC

Final: Gangwon FC 0–0 Pohang Steelers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV +4.79%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.20%26.70%27.01%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.063.453.453.9032.68%28.96%28.99%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +2.50%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%43.35%42.85%47.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.822.082.082.4054.95%48.01%48.08%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.862%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%29.95%30.14%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.023.003.2434.84%33.06%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 26.87%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 43.13%; Draw: 30.00%. For Pohang Steelers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.06%EV -17.78%E -5.81%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV +3.51%E +1.46%K +2.50%G +0.088%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -2.79%E -0.862%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -6.49%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.92%EV -0.376%E -0.163%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 10:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -0.807%E -0.351%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -0.807%E -0.351%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 10:29
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 10:29
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 10:29
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -2.96%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -8.10%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -7.59%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 10:29
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.99%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 10:25
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 10:29
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -14.02%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 10:29
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 10:29
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.28%E -3.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.28%E -3.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 10:29
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 09:25
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 10:29
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -16.70%E -5.39%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -11.49%E -3.90%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-30 10:29
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV +4.79%E +1.23%K +1.65%G +0.079%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -10.29%E -4.95%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 10:10
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV +3.45%E +0.896%K +1.21%G +0.042%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.30%EV -10.29%E -4.95%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 10:23
Betclic (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%EV -10.29%E -4.95%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:27
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -10.73%E -5.18%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -13.89%E -4.84%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.581%E -0.157%K -0.215%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 10:09
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 09:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 10:29
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -12.88%E -6.38%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 10:25
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV +0.763%E +0.203%K +0.277%G +0.002%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -13.75%E -6.87%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -13.75%E -6.87%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:05
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -13.75%E -6.87%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.59%E -4.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 10:09
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.75%E -6.87%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -15.47%E -7.89%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -15.90%E -8.15%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -15.90%E -8.15%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -15.90%E -8.15%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:25
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:25
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:25
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:29
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -3.27%E -0.908%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.75%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.86%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.72%EV -16.76%E -8.69%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -7.30%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.60%EV -18.92%E -10.06%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.56%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 10:25
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV +0.763%E +0.203%K +0.277%G +0.002%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.80%EV -21.51%E -11.82%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-30 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%0.9%2026-08-30 10:25
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57%2.2%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.16%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.48%2.5%2026-08-30 10:25