Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v FC Seoul

2026-09-20 10:00 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 22.12%4.52fair odd
EV -0.242%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.98%22.34%23.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.024.004.5127.78%24.85%25.00%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 49.95%2.00fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%50.06%49.79%51.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.781.8859.88%56.00%56.18%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.899%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.96%27.88%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.353.5032.26%30.49%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pohang Steelers (Local): 22.12%; FC Seoul (Visit): 49.95%; Draw: 27.93%. For Pohang Steelers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.51, with an expected value of -0.242%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 21.02%EV -0.242%E -0.054%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -4.48%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -0.464%E -0.103%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.68%E -0.608%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:05
1xBet🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 21.39%EV -3.12%E -0.712%K -0.922%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.64%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:25
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -7.10%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:30
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -2.25%E -0.642%K -0.899%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 10:39
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.31%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:31
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:40
NordicBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:31
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -12.08%E -6.87%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:06
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.17%EV -13.08%E -7.52%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -11.52%E -2.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.31%EV -13.58%E -7.85%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 10:06
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 12:35
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -15.08%E -8.87%K -21.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.10%EV -13.74%E -3.52%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.10%EV -14.08%E -8.19%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-13 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 22.61%EV -14.18%E -3.65%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.28%EV -11.09%E -6.23%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.11%EV -12.86%E -4.12%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -14.84%E -3.85%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.34%EV -16.58%E -9.93%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-13 10:06
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -17.05%E -4.55%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -10.09%E -5.60%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 12:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%EV -19.26%E -5.28%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.50%EV -11.09%E -6.23%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.85%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 12:30
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -20.37%E -5.66%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.77%EV -12.58%E -7.19%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.53%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-13 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 21.82%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.00%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.17%9.9%2026-09-13 14:51
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 22.91%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.26%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.83%16.4%2026-09-13 12:31