Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 07:30 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 0–1 FC Anyang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.42%40.77%40.62%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.232.4050.00%45.62%44.94%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.580%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%28.80%28.90%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.223.253.4133.90%31.09%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.43%3.29fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.42%30.47%32.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.1535.71%33.10%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 40.65%; FC Anyang (Visit): 28.92%; Draw: 30.43%. For FC Anyang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.41, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -7.18%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 07:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -7.18%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 07:15
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.86%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -1.40%E -0.410%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 07:15
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.03%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 06:55
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.42%EV -5.68%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.33%EV -4.29%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 07:15
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 06:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 06:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 07:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 07:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -11.75%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 07:15
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 07:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -7.31%E -3.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 07:00
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -7.72%E -3.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.03%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 07:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.03%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.23%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 07:00
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 06:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 06:55
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.47%E -2.33%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.81%E -3.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.18%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 07:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -6.03%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.36%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 07:15
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -12.36%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.92%E -2.83%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 06:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 06:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.25%E -4.42%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 06:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -14.70%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -10.23%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 07:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.61%EV -13.81%E -6.52%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -14.70%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.21%EV -13.27%E -4.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-19 07:12
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -14.63%E -6.97%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.63%E -6.97%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -14.70%E -4.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -13.27%E -4.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 07:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.70%EV -14.63%E -6.97%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.78%EV -14.12%E -4.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -14.79%E -5.28%K -8.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 07:14
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -15.85%E -7.66%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -15.85%E -7.66%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -1.69%E -0.496%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 07:15
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -5.66%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 07:15
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -17.07%E -8.37%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -3.13%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -7.18%E -2.36%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 07:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -18.69%E -9.35%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -4.58%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-04-19 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-19 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-19 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-19 07:15
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.45%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.2%2026-04-19 07:20
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.10%3.1%2026-04-19 07:15