Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.85
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 34.90%; Bucheon FC 1995 (Visit): 35.08%; Draw: 30.02%. For Pohang Steelers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.545%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -0.545%E -0.191%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.37%EV -7.24%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -2.29%E -0.818%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -10.53%E -4.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.15%EV -2.99%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.09%EV -7.73%E -2.94%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -12.94%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.68%EV -4.38%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -12.04%E -4.11%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 10:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -15.95%E -5.70%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -7.17%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -7.38%E -2.79%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.44%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 10:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.52%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.69%EV -8.22%E -3.13%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.08%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -17.45%E -6.34%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-22 10:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 10:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.08%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 10:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 09:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -10.53%E -4.13%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%EV -9.27%E -3.56%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.60%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.01%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.78%E -3.38%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -12.29%E -4.92%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-22 10:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.79%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -13.34%E -5.40%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -12.94%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.44%EV -16.25%E -6.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -1.76%E -0.630%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-19 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.52%EV -17.99%E -7.66%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -3.52%E -1.28%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -12.94%E -4.46%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.53%EV -19.04%E -8.21%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -5.27%E -1.95%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -13.55%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.59%EV -20.44%E -8.96%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.34%EV -7.03%E -2.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.07%EV -14.45%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-22 10:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.99% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 34.03% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98% | -0.1% | 2026-08-22 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.69% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |