Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 07:40 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–0 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 52.94%1.89fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.22%52.99%53.04%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.721.8062.11%57.84%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.25%4.71fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.84%21.22%21.16%22.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.204.7825.00%23.44%23.81%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.94%25.79%25.81%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.56%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 52.94%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 21.25%; Draw: 25.81%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.85%EV -5.23%E -2.92%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.17%EV +1.56%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 07:29
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.59%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.84%EV +1.56%E +0.327%K +0.413%G +0.006%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -7.87%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 07:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -3.33%E -0.731%K -0.937%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.09%EV -7.61%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.23%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:31
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:36
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 07:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 00:00
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:31
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.19%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -7.57%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 00:01
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.19%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.03%EV -7.57%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 00:01
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -3.22%E -0.859%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.41%E -4.86%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:30
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -4.70%E -2.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 00:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.55%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.80%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 00:01
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -7.88%E -4.53%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 07:31
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.99%E -5.88%K -14.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -11.05%E -6.58%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -10.45%E -3.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 07:12
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.57%EV -14.23%E -8.78%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.91%EV -11.82%E -2.85%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 07:15
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -8.93%E -5.19%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -9.46%E -5.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.96%E -3.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.52%EV -11.05%E -6.58%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-17 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 52.96%EV -14.76%E -9.17%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.24%EV -16.12%E -4.96%K -7.17%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-17 07:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 07:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 07:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.93%EV -12.11%E -7.30%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -9.67%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 00:01
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.39%EV -11.58%E -6.94%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -12.25%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-17 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-05-17 07:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-05-17 07:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.3%2026-05-17 07:35
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-05-17 07:25
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.0%2026-05-17 07:35