Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Jeju United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–3 Jeju United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 50.21%1.99fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.76%50.21%50.18%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.801.9357.80%54.98%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.52%4.44fair odd
EV -0.924%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.55%22.48%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.004.4026.67%24.66%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.24%27.34%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.303.5331.25%30.02%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 50.21%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 22.52%; Draw: 27.28%. For Jeju United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.924%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.16%EV -3.10%E -1.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.41%EV -2.73%E -0.631%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.43%EV -3.71%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -4.61%E -2.43%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.38%EV -5.61%E -2.99%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:40
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.77%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.63%EV -1.15%E -0.262%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.60%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:50
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -8.81%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.17%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.12%E -3.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -0.924%E -0.210%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:59
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 10:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.12%E -3.85%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -7.62%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.924%E -0.210%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.04%EV -7.62%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -0.924%E -0.210%K -0.272%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:59
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.19%EV -7.62%E -4.14%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -6.55%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.12%E -4.44%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -8.81%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.46%EV -8.81%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.63%E -4.74%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -9.13%E -5.04%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.43%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 10:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -11.51%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.65%EV -11.89%E -3.68%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -9.63%E -5.35%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:54
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%EV -10.13%E -5.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.18%EV -10.63%E -5.97%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.16%EV -10.63%E -5.97%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.62%E -2.57%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -12.14%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.25%EV -12.14%E -6.94%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.06%E -2.80%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.25%EV -13.14%E -7.60%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -13.31%E -3.46%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-08 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%0.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-08-08 10:50
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.34%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-08-08 10:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-08 10:45

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.