A Escola das Odds

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Incheon United

Início: 2026-04-21 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 Incheon United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Previsão 54.82%1.82odd justa
EV -4.06%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -5.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.50%54.81%54.83%57.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.541.691.701.7564.94%59.30%58.82%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Incheon United (Visitante)

Previsão 19.35%5.17odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.301%
Kelly -0.375%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.62%19.48%19.36%21.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.584.605.0923.81%21.82%21.74%19.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.83%3.87odd justa
EV -0.554%
Vantagem -0.144%
Kelly -0.194%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.59%25.71%25.81%27.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.52%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -15.85%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 10:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.49%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.97%EV -1.53%E -0.301%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -2.36%E -0.625%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 10:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.66%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -4.24%E -0.857%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.27%E -0.655%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.82%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.82%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.21%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.43%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:09
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.85%E -0.486%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 10:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.27%E -0.655%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:20
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:25
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 09:15
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -18.75%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -6.18%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 10:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 09:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.30%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:18
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:10
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.74%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -18.75%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-21 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.21%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.18%E -6.90%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -16.24%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 10:20
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.25%EV -12.83%E -8.07%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -14.88%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -13.38%E -8.47%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -0.554%E -0.144%K -0.194%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.10%EV -15.02%E -9.69%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.41%EV -14.88%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -15.57%E -10.11%K -28.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-21 10:25