L’École des cotes

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Incheon United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 10:30 UTC

Score final : Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 Incheon United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prévision 54.82%1.82cote équitable
EV -4.06%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -5.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.50%54.81%54.83%57.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.691.701.7564.94%59.30%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Incheon United (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.35%5.17cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.301%
Kelly -0.375%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.62%19.48%19.36%21.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.584.605.0923.81%21.82%21.74%19.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.83%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.554%
Avantage -0.144%
Kelly -0.194%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%25.71%25.81%27.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.52%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.03%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:20
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -4.06%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -15.85%E -3.64%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 10:10
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.49%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.97%EV -1.53%E -0.301%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -2.36%E -0.625%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 10:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.66%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -4.24%E -0.857%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.27%E -0.655%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.82%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.82%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:10
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:15
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -5.21%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.43%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:09
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.69%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -17.78%E -4.18%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -10.89%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.85%E -0.486%K -0.659%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 10:20
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.27%E -0.655%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:20
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:25
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 09:15
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -18.75%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 10:10
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.22%EV -6.18%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 10:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -7.35%E -4.35%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 09:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.93%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.85%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.30%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:18
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:20
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 09:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:10
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.74%EV -8.44%E -5.06%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -18.75%E -4.46%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-21 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.21%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.57%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -8.11%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 09:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.18%E -6.90%K -18.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -16.24%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-21 10:20
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 54.25%EV -12.83%E -8.07%K -21.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.61%EV -14.88%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -13.38%E -8.47%K -23.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.14%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -0.554%E -0.144%K -0.194%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.10%EV -15.02%E -9.69%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.41%EV -14.88%E -3.38%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.49%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -15.57%E -10.11%K -28.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -11.01%E -2.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-04-21 10:25
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.51%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-21 10:25