Language:English
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)
Prediction 45.35%2.21fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.37%45.38%45.34%47.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.002.002.1153.48%50.02%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV +3.30%
Edge +0.872%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%27.31%27.32%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7832.26%29.51%29.41%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.31%27.34%28.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.303.6031.75%30.13%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 45.35%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 27.33%; Draw: 27.33%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.38%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV +3.30%E +0.872%K +1.19%G +0.039% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.01%EV -2.17%E -0.606%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -2.72%E -0.764%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -8.40%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -10.67%E -5.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -2.99%E -0.842%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -11.57%E -5.94%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -12.03%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -12.03%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.49%EV -12.03%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -12.48%E -6.47%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -4.36%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -7.95%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.45%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -12.93%E -6.74%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -5.72%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 09:44 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.40%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 09:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -15.20%E -8.13%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -14.75%E -7.84%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -1.63%E -0.452%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -11.12%E -5.67%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.67%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.24%EV -10.37%E -3.16%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.09%EV -13.10%E -4.12%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -8.40%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.26%EV -12.93%E -6.74%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -12.55%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -13.92%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.92%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -10.21%E -5.16%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.92%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.31%E -4.65%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.29%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.82%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 09:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71% | 1.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |