The School of Odds

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Daejeon Citizen

2026-07-21 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -8.22%
Edge -4.17%
Kelly -8.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.59%46.59%46.59%46.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.931.931.9753%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Daejeon Citizen (Visit)

Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -7.92%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%26.31%26.31%26.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.443.453.5030%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -7.84%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.11%27.11%27.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.313.303.4031%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.84%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.62%E -4.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:30
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.09%E -5.23%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.55%E -5.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.55%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-14 11:29
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.42%E -6.60%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.91%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.