Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 10:00 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 0–0 Ulsan Hyundai FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 31.27%3.20fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.31%31.30%31.26%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1036.36%33.97%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.62%2.40fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.03%41.48%41.68%43.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.152.3551.02%46.27%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.52%27.22%27.07%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.303.5932.26%29.94%30.30%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 31.27%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 41.62%; Draw: 27.11%. For Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -2.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -5.10%E -2.24%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -5.10%E -2.24%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -15.97%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 10:40
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -3.69%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV -2.68%E -0.747%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.37%EV -13.84%E -6.69%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.20%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 10:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -14.67%E -7.16%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 10:06
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.77%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 10:00
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.77%EV -6.76%E -3.02%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -6.21%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -7.60%E -3.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -6.21%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 11:40
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 09:00
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 09:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%EV -15.09%E -7.40%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:05
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.68%EV -8.01%E -3.63%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 12:29
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -16.75%E -8.38%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-29 10:05
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -2.18%E -0.930%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 12:25
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 10:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 12:25
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.84%EV -7.60%E -3.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.84%EV -7.60%E -3.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.51%EV -18.42%E -9.40%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -14.61%E -4.64%K -6.80%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-29 10:05
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -9.95%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 10:05
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.95%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.95%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.26%E -3.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:00
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.26%E -3.57%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -12.59%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.12%EV -11.51%E -4.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.35%EV -11.34%E -5.32%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 07:03
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.27%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-02 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.26%E -4.14%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-04 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 11:59
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-02 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.01%E -5.09%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -12.59%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -10.54%E -3.20%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.93%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%2.6%2026-09-04 14:30