The School of Odds
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Jeju United FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

2026-08-22 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -10.19%
Edge -4.39%
Kelly -7.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.71%38.71%38.71%38.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3245.45%43.68%43.48%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.26%3.10fair odd
EV -9.68%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.15%32.26%32.26%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.742.752.8037.74%36.46%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV -10.00%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%29.03%29.03%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.103.1033.90%32.48%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jeju United FC (Local): 38.71%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 32.26%; Draw: 29.03%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.80, with an expected value of -9.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 03:05
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:04
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:05
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.00%E -3.23%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 03:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -11.74%E -5.15%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 03:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.90%E -4.78%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 03:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.82%EV -14.84%E -6.74%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -14.52%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%EV -14.35%E -4.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-16 03:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 33.51%1.28I 78.13%NM 33.51%1.30I 76.92%NM 32.99%133.2%2026-08-16 07:25

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