Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC v Pohang Steelers

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 1–2 Pohang Steelers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV -0.420%
Edge -0.163%
Kelly -0.266%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.90%38.65%38.54%40.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.312.5845.45%42.69%43.29%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 31.47%3.18fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.892%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.99%31.40%31.48%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.2736.36%34.35%34.48%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%29.95%29.98%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.013.003.2035.09%33.17%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 38.60%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 31.47%; Draw: 29.93%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.52%EV -9.68%E -4.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.99%EV +2.92%E +0.892%K +1.28%G +0.037%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.49%EV -6.92%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.16%E -5.85%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.43%E -0.785%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 09:30
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.35%E -0.929%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -3.06%E -0.995%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 10:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.01%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 09:34
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.44%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 09:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.44%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.30%E -3.96%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 09:14
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 09:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 03:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.07%EV -10.46%E -4.51%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -5.58%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 03:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -6.84%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 10:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.90%EV -0.420%E -0.163%K -0.266%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.38%EV -7.47%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.27%EV -1.96%E -0.773%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.20%EV -7.47%E -2.54%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.54%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 10:24
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -6.21%E -2.56%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -7.79%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 10:28
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.44%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 10:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 10:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 10:29
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.06%EV -8.14%E -3.42%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-25 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 09:14
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -8.14%E -3.42%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-19 14:09
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 06:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.78%EV -13.16%E -5.85%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.87%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 03:39
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.73%E -3.01%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 09:34
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -12.00%E -5.26%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -9.36%E -3.25%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.30%E -3.96%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.30%E -3.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -13.16%E -5.85%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -10.30%E -3.62%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-25 10:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.14%E -3.42%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 10:14
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.14%E -3.42%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 10:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.53%E -3.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.93%EV -8.53%E -3.60%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 10:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.23%E -4.88%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.21%E -3.40%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.04%EV -10.46%E -4.51%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-25 10:24
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.98%EV -13.93%E -6.25%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -11.88%E -4.24%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.97%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-19 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -7.37%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -13.45%E -4.89%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -15.09%E -6.86%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -13.45%E -4.89%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -14.70%E -5.16%K -7.94%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-19 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-08-25 09:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-08-25 09:59
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.53%0.8%2026-08-25 09:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-08-25 10:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-08-25 10:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%2.1%2026-08-25 09:54