Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 25.36%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 45.23%; Draw: 29.41%. For Jeju United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.11%E -0.285%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.11%E -0.285%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -1.11%E -0.285%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.01%EV -13.16%E -6.85%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -1.11%E -0.285%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -16.33%E -8.83%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 07:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV -1.62%E -0.417%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -3.21%E -1.50%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -2.38%E -0.618%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -14.52%E -7.68%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 07:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -2.38%E -0.618%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -14.52%E -7.68%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.88%EV -3.14%E -0.822%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.14%EV -6.83%E -3.31%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 07:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -14.97%E -7.96%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -5.17%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -7.73%E -3.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.46%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 07:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 06:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -6.18%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -17.23%E -9.42%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.31%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 07:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.45%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.40%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 07:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 07:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.87%E -1.84%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 07:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.72%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.99%E -2.81%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.81%E -2.84%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 06:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 07:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.70%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-02 07:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.25%E -3.22%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 07:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -12.52%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.34%E -2.33%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -13.79%E -4.06%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.61%E -7.13%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -11.76%E -3.92%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.57%EV -15.06%E -4.49%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.09%EV -14.07%E -7.40%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.34%EV -14.11%E -4.83%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 07:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 25.95%EV -15.82%E -4.76%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.64%EV -12.71%E -6.58%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.41%EV -13.81%E -4.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-02 07:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.32%E -4.95%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.45%E -5.28%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.28%E -3.37%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-02 07:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 07:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 07:25 |