The School of Odds
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Jeju United FC v Gwangju FC

2026-11-07 05:00 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 56.95%1.76fair odd
EV -10.59%
Edge -6.74%
Kelly -18.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.95%56.95%56.95%57.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.5766.67%64.37%64.10%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 18.15%5.51fair odd
EV -9.23%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%18.15%18.15%18.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.754.894.905.0021.05%20.45%20.41%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV -9.13%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%24.90%24.90%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.593.603.6528.99%27.89%27.78%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jeju United FC (Local): 56.95%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 18.15%; Draw: 24.90%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -9.13%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -10.59%E -6.74%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -9.23%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.13%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 05:10
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -11.16%E -7.15%K -19.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.17%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.24%EV -11.73%E -7.57%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -11.05%E -2.26%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.38%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-31 05:10
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -12.86%E -8.41%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.15%EV -12.86%E -2.68%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -12.86%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 05:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.12%EV -14.57%E -9.72%K -29.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.04%EV -13.77%E -2.90%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.84%EV -14.11%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-31 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 33.42%1.32I 75.76%NM 33.42%1.33I 75.19%NM 33.17%126.7%2026-10-31 06:10