Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC v FC Anyang

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 2–0 FC Anyang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 38.93%2.57fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.02%38.96%38.87%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.322.5645.45%42.61%43.10%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Anyang (Visit)

Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV +4.25%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%33.52%33.64%35.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.703.1038.46%36.78%37.04%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.52%27.49%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5833.33%30.65%30.77%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 38.93%; FC Anyang (Visit): 33.63%; Draw: 27.44%. For FC Anyang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 10:34
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.83%EV -5.39%E -2.22%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.14%EV -1.81%E -0.618%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -1.78%E -0.496%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -4.50%E -1.58%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -8.36%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:19
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.06%EV -8.11%E -3.44%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.57%EV -4.83%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 10:24
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -5.17%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -2.60%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 10:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:24
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.61%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 10:09
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:14
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 10:09
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:59
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.82%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.53%E -3.14%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 10:05
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.82%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.54%EV -8.53%E -3.14%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -0.327%E -0.128%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -0.327%E -0.128%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.56%E -2.73%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 10:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 10:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:04
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:44
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.35%EV -9.67%E -4.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.34%EV -11.62%E -5.12%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.44%EV -10.21%E -3.82%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.01%E -3.05%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 10:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -8.50%E -3.62%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -10.89%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -16.32%E -5.35%K -7.96%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 09:44
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 10:15
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.34%E -3.08%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 09:22
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.72%E -3.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.72%E -3.26%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 09:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.40%EV -14.34%E -6.52%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.08%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-15 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.45%E -4.54%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -8.09%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:04
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.40%E -5.51%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-15 09:53
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.45%EV -13.18%E -5.91%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.98%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -17.69%E -5.90%K -8.84%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-08-15 09:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-15 10:25
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.62%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.0%2026-08-15 10:25