La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Jeju United FC v Daejeon Citizen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jeju United FC (Local)
Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV +5.42%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.098%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.12%26.50%26.31%32.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.383.404.0136.36%29.62%29.41%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)
Predicción 44.39%2.25momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.952%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.17%44.20%44.33%47.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.082.062.2852.08%48.18%48.54%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%29.30%29.36%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.123.4534.48%31.90%32.05%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.12%EV +5.42%E +1.35%K +1.80%G +0.098% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.84%EV -6.33%E -3.00%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.04%EV -5.60%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.22%E +0.316%K +0.427%G +0.005% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV +1.22%E +0.316%K +0.427%G +0.005% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -0.098%E -0.026%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -1.68%E -0.448%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.05%EV -10.32%E -5.11%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV +1.14%E +0.330%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -8.55%E -4.15%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -2.73%E -0.737%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.98%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -4.83%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.53%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -5.36%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.98%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.67%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.98%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.88%E -2.78%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.326%E -0.096%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.26%E -0.987%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.02%EV -12.10%E -6.11%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.76%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -10.61%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -14.76%E -7.69%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.05%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.93%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -11.93%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.23%EV -10.32%E -5.11%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.00%E -3.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.24%E -4.01%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 10:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -14.56%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.87%E -4.96%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -15.87%E -4.96%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -17.19%E -5.46%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -17.19%E -5.46%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -17.19%E -5.46%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 10:25 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -17.19%E -5.46%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -17.19%E -5.46%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -18.50%E -5.97%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.17%EV -9.12%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -19.82%E -6.50%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -1.00%E -0.449%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.72%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -22.44%E -7.61%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -6.19%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.48%EV -27.70%E -10.07%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.17%EV +1.22%E +0.534%K +0.952%G +0.012% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 10:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.93% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 42.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 31.91% | -3.6% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.13% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.6% | 2026-07-12 10:24 |
| Kalshi | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 10:20 |