Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC v Daejeon Citizen

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 3–1 Daejeon Citizen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 25.15%3.98fair odd
EV +0.098%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%25.10%25.07%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.513.503.9832.79%28.50%28.57%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daejeon Citizen (Visit)

Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.81%48.15%48.15%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0554.64%51.36%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%26.75%26.78%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.333.303.6332.79%30.01%30.30%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 25.15%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 48.08%; Draw: 26.77%. For Jeju United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.976. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.980, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.098%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.29%EV +0.098%E +0.025%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.08%EV -5.29%E -2.68%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -2.82%E -0.777%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 10:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -0.657%E -0.166%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -0.657%E -0.166%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -1.91%E -0.491%K -0.660%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.09%E -5.40%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 09:20
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.43%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 10:29
1xBet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -5.44%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.98%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.96%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 10:29
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 10:25
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 10:15
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 10:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.69%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.62%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 10:29
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -6.94%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -10.31%E -3.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 10:20
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 10:25
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -8.20%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 10:24
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.62%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 10:20
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -4.32%E -2.17%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 10:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.30%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 10:20
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 09:24
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.99%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.46%E -2.63%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.99%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -9.96%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.00%EV -10.57%E -5.69%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.02%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.64%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 10:25
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 10:15
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.25%E -3.20%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 10:15
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 10:25
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:29
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.97%E -3.42%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.02%E -6.57%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.99%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -13.23%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -9.61%E -5.11%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -13.23%E -3.84%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%EV -11.06%E -5.98%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 10:29
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -14.49%E -4.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.02%E -6.57%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.98%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -1.44%E -0.702%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 09:55
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -19.52%E -6.10%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.33%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -20.78%E -6.60%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -2.88%E -1.43%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -15.67%E -4.97%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 09:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -22.03%E -7.11%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.03%EV -5.29%E -2.68%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -17.01%E -5.49%K -8.10%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 09:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -23.29%E -7.64%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.01%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -18.35%E -6.02%K -8.95%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-08-30 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-30 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-30 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-08-30 10:15
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-30 10:10