L’École des cotes

Incheon United v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -0.911%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.05%34.45%34.34%36.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.662.682.8640.49%37.58%37.31%34.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.880%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.46%36.23%36.16%38.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.482.7042.55%40.10%40.32%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.47%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.198%
Avantage +0.058%
Kelly +0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%29.32%29.50%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.923.093.053.4034.25%32.40%32.79%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +0.198%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:49
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.23%EV -1.69%E -0.592%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.48%EV -10.69%E -4.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -0.981%E -0.292%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 06:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 04:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 04:50
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -2.38%E -0.880%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 07:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 04:35
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:59
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 06:19
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -6.35%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 06:20
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 07:25
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.32%EV -8.88%E -3.53%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.32%EV -8.88%E -3.53%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 07:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 07:19
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 07:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 04:50
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.28%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:20
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.28%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 07:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 07:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.33%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.33%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 04:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 07:05
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 34.08%EV -13.04%E -5.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -15.03%E -6.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.23%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 07:04
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.52%EV -15.10%E -6.11%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.28%EV -15.03%E -6.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.95%E -4.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-11 07:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-04-11 07:15
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-04-11 07:20