La escuela de los momios

Incheon United v Ulsan Hyundai FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.911%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.05%34.45%34.34%36.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.472.662.682.8640.49%37.58%37.31%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visitante)

Predicción 36.16%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.46%36.23%36.16%38.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.492.482.7042.55%40.10%40.32%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.47%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.198%
Ventaja +0.058%
Kelly +0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.32%29.50%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.923.093.053.4034.25%32.40%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +0.198%E +0.058%K +0.082%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:49
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.23%EV -1.69%E -0.592%K -0.911%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.48%EV -10.69%E -4.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -0.981%E -0.292%K -0.416%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 06:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.75%E -0.833%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 04:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 04:50
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.83%EV -2.38%E -0.880%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -4.52%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 07:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 04:35
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:59
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.80%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 04:50
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -5.70%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 06:19
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.40%EV -6.85%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.00%EV -6.35%E -2.45%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.17%E -2.28%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 04:20
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -5.99%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 06:20
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 07:25
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.32%EV -8.88%E -3.53%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.15%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.32%EV -8.88%E -3.53%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 04:50
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 07:05
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 07:19
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 07:20
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 04:50
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.28%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:20
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 34.28%EV -7.88%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.71%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 07:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -9.61%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 07:20
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 07:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.40%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -10.12%E -3.32%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 04:50
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.33%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.33%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 07:20
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 04:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 04:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -11.59%E -3.86%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-11 07:05
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 34.08%EV -13.04%E -5.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.69%EV -15.03%E -6.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.23%EV -13.06%E -4.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 07:04
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.52%EV -15.10%E -6.11%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.28%EV -15.03%E -6.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.95%E -4.78%K -7.26%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-11 07:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.37%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.76%1.8%2026-04-11 07:20
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-04-11 07:15
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-04-11 07:20