The School of Odds
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Incheon United v Jeju United FC

2026-10-24 05:00 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Incheon United (Local)

Prediction 40.29%2.48fair odd
EV -10.16%
Edge -4.56%
Kelly -8.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.13%40.29%40.29%40.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.192.202.2347.17%45.59%45.45%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeju United FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV -10.87%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%30.22%30.22%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.952.9535.71%34.12%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV -10.03%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.24%29.50%29.50%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.053.0534.48%33.02%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Incheon United (Local): 40.29%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 30.22%; Draw: 29.50%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -10.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -10.16%E -4.56%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-17 05:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.37%E -5.17%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.51%E -3.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-17 05:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.29%EV -12.98%E -6.01%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -12.98%E -4.51%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-17 05:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.19%EV -14.59%E -6.88%K -13.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.38%EV -14.46%E -4.98%K -7.61%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-17 05:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 34.70%1.35I 74.07%NM 32.65%1.35I 74.07%NM 32.65%126.9%2026-10-17 05:25