Language:English
Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gwangju FC (Local)
Prediction 19.66%5.09fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.67%19.59%19.72%20.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.694.755.2023.81%21.31%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit)
Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -9.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.72%58.24%58.27%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.571.6268.97%63.95%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%22.17%22.00%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.024.004.4527.03%24.88%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gwangju FC (Local): 19.66%; Ulsan Hyundai FC (Visit): 58.25%; Draw: 22.09%. For Gwangju FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV +2.24%E +0.431%K +0.533%G +0.012% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.47%E -7.54%K -22.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.68%EV +1.65%E +0.319%K +0.396%G +0.007% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.62%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.69%E -0.379%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 04:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.69%E -0.338%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -6.81%E -4.25%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.00%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -1.69%E -0.338%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -1.69%E -0.338%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.97%E -5.05%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 04:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -1.69%E -0.338%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 03:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -3.66%E -0.747%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.22%E -3.87%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.00%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.66%E -0.747%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -7.39%E -4.65%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.634%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.66%E -0.747%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -7.39%E -4.65%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -2.79%E -0.634%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -4.64%E -0.957%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 04:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.62%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 03:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.62%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 03:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.62%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.80%EV -9.14%E -5.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.94%E -3.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.22%E -3.87%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -4.34%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 02:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 02:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -6.81%E -4.25%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.34%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 02:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.81%E -4.25%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.11%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.39%E -4.65%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 03:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -6.61%E -1.39%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.71%EV -6.80%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.04%EV -6.22%E -3.87%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 02:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -7.59%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 04:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.91%EV -7.59%E -1.61%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.71%EV -10.30%E -6.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -16.05%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -9.56%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.84%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.91%EV -9.56%E -2.08%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.59%EV -12.05%E -7.98%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.50%EV -18.26%E -4.93%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -11.52%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -7.97%E -5.05%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.73%E -3.22%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 02:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -11.52%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -7.97%E -5.05%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -12.73%E -3.22%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 02:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.52%E -2.56%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.49%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -7.97%E -5.05%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -7.21%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -13.49%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -13.49%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 02:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -13.49%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 02:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -13.49%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 02:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -14.47%E -3.33%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.27%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.58%EV -14.28%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.45%E -3.59%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.14%E -5.86%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -9.42%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 02:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -15.45%E -3.59%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.72%EV -9.72%E -6.27%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.84%EV -14.94%E -3.88%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 19.75%EV -16.44%E -3.87%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 57.88%EV -15.54%E -10.72%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.38%EV -17.15%E -4.57%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-10-11 04:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -17.42%E -4.15%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -10.88%E -7.11%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.63%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-11 02:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.55% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-10-11 04:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 2.2% | 2026-10-11 04:55 |